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CAUTION: This SINGLE Demographic Could Lose Trump The Election

There’s been lots of talk about how President Donald Trump has surged past Vice President Kamala Harris in the polls but oftentimes the polls can be misleading so it’s important to sift through the noise and get to the bottom of what’s actually happening.

While Trump and the Republicans have been gaining ground with virtually every key Democrat Demographic, there’s actually one EXTREMELY important bloc of Republican voters which could decide the 2024 election, and the polling with that group is NOT looking good for Trump.

According to the data, non-college educated White voters have slightly shifted away from President Trump in recent years and CNN is celebrating this as the only thing keeping Kamala Harris “in the ball game” – it really is that big of a deal.

 

In 2016 Trump won over this group by a 33% margin. In 2020 that number dropped to just 31%. As of now the polls suggest that he has just 27% support from these voters.

Now this might not seem like a huge deal considering Trump has made massive double-digit gains with many of the Democrats’ minority voting blocs but the issue is that non-college educated Whites make up 40% of the American electorate – making it the largest of all the voting blocs BY FAR.

But it gets worse.

The numbers are even MORE damning in battleground stats Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, where this voting bloc equals 51% – a clearcut majority – of all the voters.

This group of voters, while often overlooked, is the single most important because as Saagar Enjeti from Breaking Points rightfully notes, “the medianDemoc voter in the United States is a 50-year-old White dude or woman who did not go to college.”

He suggests, “That is the whole ball game.”

Needless to say, if Trump truly is slipping in this category it could be DEVASTASTING for his presidential bid and we could be looking at four more years of cackling Kamala Harris in the White House.

However, there is an upside.

It’s very possible that – just as they were in 2016 and 2020 – the polls are WRONG About this group.

The New York Times has come out and said that this voting bloc is notoriously difficult to get accurate polling data on which could mean that they are severely underestimating the group’s support for Trump, which is part of the reason why the polls were so wrong in 2016 and 2020.

If this is the case and Trump outperforms the polls then he could very well SWEEP the battleground states and absolutely crush Kamala where it matters most.

On the flip side of that, there is a belief that pollsters have adjusted their data in such a manner that the polls now OVERSTATE the support for President Trump and the Republicans, which could explain why we were all waiting for a red tsunami in the 2022 Midterms – and it never came.

If that does materialize this November then it would be the WORST case scenario for President Trump and conservatives all across America.

This is exactly why it’s important not to buy into all of the polling hype surrounding President Trump right now. That’s EXACTLY what the Democrats want because it can lead to complacency which translates to a reduced turnout for Trump, and right now, believe it or not, it truly is a game of inches.

Check out this video for some more detail on how this one demographic could win OR lose Trump the election.


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